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Tuesday, February 19, 2013

2013 Academy Awards (Shane's Picks)

As we are less than a week away from the 2013 Academy Awards, some of us here at kylegoestothemovies.com decided we would offer our predictions for some of the larger (and smaller) categories.  You can view Kyle's picks by clicking here. While most of the choices for nominees this year were quite predictable, that does not mean that some of these films were not exceptional.  Although I have to say that, when it comes to predictability, I was a little disappointed that a certain movie did not get more nominations (more on this below).

While I will go ahead and admit that I have not seen all of the nominees for Best Picture (and, by extension, Best Director), I feel confident that my having seen 6 of the 9 nominees allows me to have an opinion on what will/should win.  I will be choosing from one or two extra categories from Kyle, namely Animated Feature as I have seen all of the nominees in that category.  I will not be making predictions for any of the documentary or short categories as I have seen none of those films (with the exception of "Paperman" for Best Animated Short).

Like Kyle's picks I will be choosing what I believe will win, what deserves to win, and what should have been nominated.

Best Original Song

Nominees:  "Before my Time" from Chasing Ice, "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted, "Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi, "Skyfall" from Skyfall, "Suddenly" from Les Miserables

Back in late October/early November, I would have said with the utmost confidence that whatever original song had been written for Les Mis would steal this category.  In fact, I'm pretty sure I did say that.  I am a huge fan of Les Mis as both a stage show and a movie, but I have to say that I will be extremely upset if "Skyfall" does not take this category.  As much as I love musicals, I also love Bond themes, and I say it's time a Bond theme won an Oscar.  

Will win: Skyfall
Should win: Skyfall
Should have been nominated: "Safe and Sound" from The Hunger Games

Best Original Score

Nominees:  Dario Marianelli - Anna Karenina, Alexandre Desplat - Argo, Mychael Danna - Life of Pi, John Williams - Lincoln, Thomas Newman - Skyfall

I'll be honest and say that, while I can definitely appreciate a good score, I am usually not good at picking scores for the Oscar.  Often the scores I love in movies do not get nominated.  I'm feeling like this is a category that Argo has a good chance of winning despite being nominated against the great John Williams.  That being said, I loved Newman's score for Skyfall.  

Will win: Desplat (Argo)
Should win: Newman (Skyfall)
Should have been nominated: Hans Zimmer - The Dark Knight Rises

Best Visual Effects

Nominees:  Life of Pi, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Marvel's The Avengers, Prometheus, Snow White and the Huntsman

As I do not feel like I am well-qualified enough to speak on the subject of cinematography as Kyle did in his article, I will discuss the Visual Effects award (although I want Skyfall to win for cinematography).  This is a very interesting race with at least two major movies from this year that I feel were shunned for no good reason (see below).  It is also an interesting race in that very few of the visual effects in each of these films were practical; a sign of the times I suppose.  While I would say this is the only award aside from makeup that The Hobbit stands a chance of winning, I am almost certain this is going to be a win for Life of Pi.  Although lets just say that part of me is rooting for the Hulk.

Will win: Life of Pi
Should win: The Avengers
Should have been nominated: The Dark Knight Rises or Cloud Atlas

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominees: Chris Terrio - Argo, Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild, David Magee - Life of Pi, Tony Kushner - Lincoln, David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook

Once again we have another category with a certain movie I felt should have received a nomination: Cloud Atlas.  While I may be biased as Cloud Atlas was my favorite film of 2012, I have also read the novel and can attest that it was adapted brilliantly for the screen.  As the Academy did not agree with me, however, I feel like this category will be one of many wins for the team behind Argo.  Although I would not rule out a shake up in the form of Mr. David O. Russel.

Will win: Terrio (Argo)
Should win: Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
Should have been nominated: Tom Tykwer, Andy Wachowski, Lana Wachowski (Cloud Atlas)

Best Original Screenplay

Nominees: Michael Haneke - Amour, Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained, John Gatins - Flight, Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola - Moonrise Kingdom, Mark Boal - Zero Dark Thirty

This has been a very interesting year when it comes to original screenplays.  I loved two of the films nominated and I'm sure many hope that Wes Anderson will come out with a win.  Unfortunately, I do not see that happening.  While I would certainly be happy with Tarantino taking home the well-deserved award, I can't help but wonder if some of the controversy surrounding Django may keep him from winning.  I'm thinking this one's going to Mr. Boal.

Will win: Boal (Zero Dark Thirty)
Should win: Boal (Zero Dark Thirty)
Should have been nominated: Chris Butler - ParaNorman (Yeah, I said it)

Best Animated Feature Film

Nominees:  Brave, Frankenweenie, ParaNorman, The Pirates! Band of Misfits, Wreck-it Ralph

This is a very hard category for me to choose a winner.  As previously mentioned, I have seen all of the films in this category.  The main problem?  I loved all of them.  Each of them has something which makes them unique.  Three of the five nominees were made using stop-motion, which is absolutely incredibly in a time dominated by CG animated films.  That being said, this was also a very strong year for female characters and I feel that Pixar released one of their most underrated films to date.  I'm giving the edge to Brave, although this one may be a bit of a toss-up.  

Will win: Brave
Should win: Any of them (Roll a die)
Should have been nominated: N/A, these were the best of 2012

Best Supporting Actress

Nominees:  Amy Adams - The Master, Sally Field - Lincoln, Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables, Helen Hunt - The Sessions, Jacki Weaver - Silver Linings Playbook

There's not much I can really say about this category.  Anne Hathaway is going to win this.  You know it, I know it, everyone knew it the second we heard her sing "I Dreamed A Dream" in the trailer for Les Mis.  She will win and it will be very well-deserved.  I'm so confident in this pick that I think anything else would be so shocking it would be all over the headlines the next morning.

Will win: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Should win: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Should have been nominated: Halle Berry (Cloud Atlas)

Best Supporting Actor

Nominees:  Alan Arkin - Argo, Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook, Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master, Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln, Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained

This is a very tough category this year.  All of the actors nominated performed excellently in each of their films.  Much like Supporting Actress, however, I am extremely confident that Christoph Waltz is going to come away with yet another Oscar.  That being said, I do feel like this category is a bit more of a toss-up than Supporting Actress.

Will win: Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Should win: Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) or Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Should have been nominated: N/A

Best Actress

Nominees:  Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty, Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook, Emmanuelle Riva - Amour, Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild, Naomi Watts - The Impossible

This will perhaps be the tightest race for the entire night.  I am honestly not sure who I like more in this category: Jessica Chastain or Jennifer Lawrence.  Both were amazing in their films.  As mentioned earlier, I believe that this has been an extremely great year for strong female characters in film.  With that in mind, I am willing to give the edge to Chastain in this, but I believe that, if Lawrence does not win this time around, she will be winning an Oscar eventually.

Will win: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Should win: Chastain or Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Should have been nominated: N/A

Best Actor

Nominees: Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook, Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln, Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables, Joaquin Phoenix - The Master, Denzel Washington - Flight

I hate to say it, but this will probably be the most boring category of the night.  Much like Supporting Actress, we all knew how this category would turn out before any of the films were even released.  As much as I loved Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings I see no scenario where Daniel Day Lewis doesn't win this award.  Joaquin Phoenix could surprise, though, and I would be completely okay with that.

Will win: Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Should win: Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Should have been nominated: Tom Hanks (Cloud Atlas)

Best Director

Nominees: Michael Haneke - Amour, Benh Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild, Ang Lee - Life of Pi, Steven Spielberg - Lincoln, David O Russell - Silver Linings Playbook

This is another category which I am not 100% confident in my prediction, but I do feel pretty safe going with it.  While I would have assumed a few months ago that this would be a lock for Spielberg, I began to question that line of thinking after seeing Silver Linings Playbook.  This movie is starting to gain a little bit of momentum coming into the Oscars and I feel that we could get another surprise in the form of Mr. Russell.

Will win: David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
Should win: David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
Should have been nominated: Ben Affleck (Argo) or Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)

Best Picture

Nominees:  Amour, Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, Zero Dark Thirty

Two months or so ago I would have said this would be yet another lock for Lincoln.  It looked like the film that was just going to steamroll itself right into winning Best Picture.  All of that steam has been let out, however, in favor of Argo.  While I will certainly have no problem with Argo winning, I do feel that, out of the films nominated, Zero Dark Thirty deserves the award a whole lot more.  Out of the three films nominated which portrayed historical events (each with known conclusions), Zero Dark Thirty was the only one which made me feel tense as to what the outcome may be.  Were Cloud Atlas nominated, however, I would have chosen it by far.

Will win: Argo
Should win: Zero Dark Thirty
Should have been nominated: Cloud Atlas

Well, there you have it.  These are my picks for some of the categories for the Oscars.  You can catch all the festivities this Sunday night on ABC.  Until then, be sure to leave a comment telling me what your choices are and if you feel I'm right or wrong in the choices I have made!
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